Monday, January 24, 2022
Girard-Perregaux and Ulysse Nardin Have New Owners
Thursday, January 20, 2022
Watches and Wondering - Waiting for Godot
With the dearth of new releases out there, and the notable silence from the fair's organizers, it is seeming less and less likely that 2022 (at least March/April) will see the return of large scale, in-person watch fairs in Geneva.
| Credit: https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0276613/ |
On the one hand, it appears that the latest COVID surge has peaked in several countries. But reaching the peak does not put us back to a safe infection level... at least not yet. Geneva is one of the strictest cantons in Switzerland in terms of health and safety policy, and for all of the foreign buyers and press that hope to come to attend a show there are quite a few hoops that they will have to jump through - I say this having travelled in September and November. And that's just to get into Switzerland. I will also make clear that I agree with Switzerland's stance. Which I guess means that Novak Djocovic won't be making any personal appearances at the Hublot booth in the near future.
China and Hong Kong represent the largest block of customers for Richemont and most likely LVMH and Kering. For those folks, getting to Switzerland is one thing. Coming back home? Well, that's quite the other. Lengthy quarantine requirements have marked a significant drop in travel both from and to this region. So with all of that being said, I don't expect that a lot of these folks will be opting to attend. And let's not even get started with the US, where (for better or worse) public health and safety has become more of a political issue than, well, a health and safety issue. Unless the Swiss government opts to drop the vaccination requirements for entry at the Zurich, Basel, and Geneva airports, a large swath of folks from North America will be staying home.
That leaves the Middle East, Africa, South America and parts of Europe. This is not to say that these are not important markets or customers, but it is to say that they do not, unfortunately, represent the same percentage of turnover for the brands.
And lastly, there are the organizers of the show itself. Watches and Wonders, along with its predecessor the SIHH, went to great lengths to create an atmosphere of not only exclusivity, but exclusion in the past. And while it might be "the only game in town", I give Watches and Wonders about as much consideration as I do NOMOSGlashütte, which is to say I don't consider it at all.
Monday, December 21, 2020
The Transfer Window Opens - Sometimes They Come Back...
You may remember Mr. Calce from his stint at Corum which spun into: "Corum/Eterna, The Twin Towers", then a brief coffee break at Girard-Perregaux: "Twin Towers Two: Electric Boogaloo".
Mr. Calce has been given oversight of the Greubel Forsey brand, but not been given the keys to the Complitime Executive washroom. Complitime is Greubel Forsey's sister company for external movement production.
Sunday, July 12, 2020
Ghost in the Machine
As much as I'd like to provide you, gentle reader, with an active link to an actual website, it would appear that the Sleeping Beauty that is JEANRICHARD might, in fact, have slipped away in the night. Or at least sometime in 2016 as that is the last update from their official Facebook page.
This is a shame, a waste and a tragedy. And no, I'm not being melodramatic. JEANRICHARD circa 2013 had real potential, and was starting to move the needle. And with a little more discipline, a little less cockiness, and a few less bone-headed celebrity partnerships they might still be here among the living. My hope is that JEANRICHARD is waiting on a daybed somewhere, surrounded by 7 dwarves awaiting Prince Charming to come along and rescue it. Because hand to God, truth to power - Patrick Pruniaux, this is not only a brand worth saving, it is one that could actually help pull Girard-Perregaux and Ulysse Nardin out of their collective funks. But only if you're ready to either give it a kiss and wake it up, or sell it to someone ready, willing and able to do something with it.
I absolutely believed in JR, so much so that this one was mine for a year or so -
Apologies for the photo quality, this is back when I was taking photos with a Kodak disposable camera and picking up the prints at the Photomat -
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| Shamelessly borrowed from the past... |
What If? JEANRICHARD
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| Courtesy of JEANRICHARD |
I was excited. Hell, most of the watch world was excited. The timing of the release was, seemingly, cursed as Tudor returned to the US market the very same year. But curious to relate? JEAN RICHARD had a very successful debut as GP had decided to come back to BaselWorld, and that first year they enjoyed a fair bit of success. But post BaselWorld, their marketing and PR folks (both in-house, and the US PR firm that they hired) started making some decidedly dubious choices about how to promote the brand. They literally walked a "high wire" with Nik Wallenda, rugby players, a Master Chef winner (Luca Manfe), and then grasped for the brass ring with their partnership with Arsenal. In a PR/publicity sense their eyes were bigger than their wallets. What started out as a very sound, very rational product offering ran off the rails, and in less than 2 years' time, jumped the shark.
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| Shamelessly borrowed from the worldwide infoweb |
Sunday, December 1, 2019
The Transfer Window has Opened...
And it would seem that Thursday/Friday was a pretty squirrely day in Lucerne, with Beat Weinmann announcing that he (as CEO) and four other employees (i.e. pretty much everyone connected to the brand itself) had dropped their papers and would stop working for ochs und junior (and therefore Ulysse Nardin and Kering) effective immediately.
Now while I realize a lot of regular readers have probably already digested this news as it was not-so-subtly leaked on social media, essentially the message was:
We quit, and we're Audi 5000!
And then either as a reaction to, or an attempted preemptive strike, the shot callers at UN (read the folks who actually pay the bills at ochs und junior) dropped their own version -
News
Beat Weinmann, ochs und junior’s longtime CEO, has decided to leave the company. The Board of Directors would like to thank him for his strong contribution over the years and wish him much success in his new endeavors. Along with Kurt König and Ludwig Oechslin, Beat co-founded ochs und junior in 2006. He has been instrumental in elevating this company to where it is today. His dedication, commitment and expertise will be missed. Beat’s successor and the company’s new organization and products will be announced shortly. In the interim, Marc Bernhardt will act as a consultant for the company in order to ensure the continuity of operations and services. We would like to thank all of our customers, partners, and friends for their ongoing support.
Now while there was a time when I knew Beat a bit and it would have been fair to call us friendly, that was some years ago and I have not been following ochs und junior or covering them for quite some time. So I think I can
Saturday, September 28, 2019
What Jeff Ma Could Teach the Watch Industry
There were some very interesting notions that I thought might be worth a view through the lens of the watch world. For those of you unfamiliar, and I was certainly one of them, Jeff Ma is a graduate of MIT, with a degree in Mechanical Engineering, but is best known for his research and application of analytics in gambling (casinos, etc.) and now advises business leaders and a few professional sports teams on how to better understand analytics and think more clearly about how they run the day to day of their business.
A few ideas that they discussed:
Unconscious Bias -
This is a notion that I have dipped into when thinking about what Bill James, Billy Beane and others have called out as foolish behavior. What Mr. Ma went into detail about was the notion that we often think in terms of narratives rather than analytic realities. And more often than not, the narrative is, in fact, false. Essentially, what it boils down to is a pre-existing belief about how something should be, and how our unconscious bias will prevent us from looking at things as they really are. Now as someone who spends the majority of his waking life working for a non-profit, social justing seeking organization, I know that unconscious bias is a very familiar term used when we try to understand societal inequities. But what Mr. Ma underscores is that unconscious bias will impact pretty much everything we do - which includes business.
So how does that apply to the watch business?
Well, my fellow members of the Fourth and Fifth Estates can confirm that more often than not, a watch brand will hire a PR firm from the same pool of 2 firms that they always hire from. Now the interesting thing is that they will typically work with Firm A for 2 years, not renew the contract and go with Firm B for 2 years, only to come back and work with Firm A again. In other words? Firm C who can actually provide solid analytical data that proves their firm could be as (if not more) effective will never be considered. The same is true with brand leaders. All too often, the same faces keep appearing in the same roles, merely changing jerseys like a professional footballer. The unconscious bias prevents the hiring committees from making an informed hiring decision, because they are more comfortable hiring someone who fits the pre-conceived mold of what they are looking for, rather than the best person for the job. Ever wonder why so many brand managers in the US are, more often than not, European expats?
Misaligned Incentives -
Brand CEOs, and brand managers are most typically focused not on "winning" or having the most successful brand in terms of quantifiable data results. More often than not, the greater concern is that of keeping their job, remaining employed. While there are some true alternative thinkers and practitioners out there, that willingness to try something different is going to be stifled by the misaligned incentives they are operating under. Is it better to make fewer watches, spend less money on red carpet PR events, sell what you have and not dump the majority of your product into the grey market? YES. But the misaligned incentives of the big-time watch world enforce a different mentality. Winning is no longer having a successful respected brand, it is churning as many units out the door as possible, regardless of whether or not they are legitimate sales, or the red-headed step children of the grey market. When a group of people in a brand are operating mostly from a position of self-preservation? Well, I think you can see how that is going to turn out.
Omission Bias -
Essentially favoring inaction over action when we fear that the action might lead to further or worse harm. Mr. Ma shares the story of when his mother suffered a stroke, and the doctor offered two options:
1. Do nothing, the odds were only 22% that she would survive beyond 60 days.
2. Operate, remove the blood clot and pro-actively relieve pressure on the brain, which might help the brain recover more quickly. Now obviously brain surgery is nothing to be taken lightly, but the decision to operate had a higher probability of success, if it was successful.
And it is interesting to me to consider this, because in many ways the medical realities of suffering a stroke are not that dissimilar to the watch industry as a whole right now. Think about how the stroke metaphor applies to the industry. The industry, as a whole, is chasing option 1 - Inaction. The fear of really rolling up their sleeves and understanding just how things are going to work is terrifying. What if it's a mistake? What if you get it wrong? What if you don't get your bonus? Essentially, the industry is playing not to lose, rather than playing to win. Because the foolish hope that is being clung onto, is if they wait it out, and whistle past the graveyard, things will go back to the way they once were. But what we are now understanding with the rupture of the grey market balloon? Things were never that great to begin with.
Friday, September 20, 2019
Why the Watch World Needs Stefano Macaluso
I visited the GP HQ on one occasion some years ago and it left a lasting impression. And if ghosts do exist, and I mean that in the absolutely most positive way, the ghost of Luigi Macaluso most definitely frequented the halls of the buildings in La-chaux-de-fonds. If a corporate office could be said to be a romantic place? Well GP was the watch fan's equivalent of Paris in Spring.
Curious to relate, I only recently met (at least face to face) another key person from Girard-Perregaux, Stefano Macaluso, this past March when he participated in the Henki Time podcast. What was striking to me in that conversation was that although he was no longer with Girard-Perregaux (at least insofar as the daily operations although I believe that his family still holds a stake in the brand), was what I can only call a romantic notion about Girard-Perregaux. And thank God for that.
In an age where watch brands are, in effect, losing their collective shit about what to do next, throwing money at influencers, slashing their advertising budgets with traditional media and dumping their over production wholesale into the grey market, here was a quiet, contemplative man speaking thoughtfully about the family business. Other watch executives leave (or get asked to leave) a position and they take off on booze and drugged fueled jags. Mr. Macaluso? He grabs his bicycle and his sketch book and travels the world, documenting his impressions, and sharing them via instagram and facebook. Many of us locked in our jobs had the opportunity to travel vicariously through him this past summer. I guess my point here is that he is something outside of the mold of what is typical in the watch business.
Whether it is a G-Shock you were given as a 10 year old, or your father's watch that you inherited when he passed on, watches do more than measure the time of our days, they mark the times of our lives. And it is hard not to be romantic about that.
Now I am 51, no longer a young man by any stretch of the imagination, but I still feel those stirrings in that place where my heart (alleged by some not to exist) resides when it comes to some things, and Girard-Perregaux is one of them. In all honesty? We don't need more celebrity ambassadors, more watches made from "unobtainium", more limited-edition-partner watches with "watch news" (excuse me while I die laughing) outlets. We need more artists, more poets, more dreamers. The watch world needs people like Stefano Macaluso to remind us of the value of beauty, of thinking, of listening and of dreaming.
For now, something simple from GP to inspire. Not too much, not too little, but to quote that other great commentator on watches, Goldilocks:
"This one is just right."
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| Courtesy of Girard-Perregaux |
Tuesday, July 30, 2019
What If? JEANRICHARD
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| Courtesy of JEANRICHARD |
I was excited. Hell, most of the watch world was excited. The timing of the release was, seemingly, cursed as Tudor returned to the US market the very same year. But curious to relate? JEAN RICHARD had a very successful debut as GP had decided to come back to BaselWorld, and that first year they enjoyed a fair bit of success. But post BaselWorld, their marketing and PR folks (both in-house, and the US PR firm that they hired) started making some decidedly dubious choices about how to promote the brand. They literally walked a "high wire" with Nik Wallenda, rugby players, a Master Chef winner (Luca Manfe), and then grasped for the brass ring with their partnership with Arsenal. In a PR/publicity sense their eyes were bigger than their wallets. What started out as a very sound, very rational product offering ran off the rails, and in less than 2 years' time, jumped the shark.
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| Shamelessly borrowed from the worldwide infoweb |
Thursday, July 11, 2019
The Vintage 1945 XXL Large Date and Moon Phases
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| Courtesy of Girard-Perregaux |
CASE
STRAP
CALIBRE
FUNCTIONS
Wednesday, July 3, 2019
Heroes of Communication - Bell & Ross The Americas
Ms. Solomon and Ms. Castro always take the time to communicate. I live under no delusion that Tempus Fugit Media is any bigger or more important than it is. It is a niche outlet with a niche readership. But the team at Bell & Ross Americas has always gone way above and beyond to accommodate and assist me. It is a positive relationship because they are positive, highly professional people.
Monday, August 27, 2018
Because it's Easy to Run 2 Brands!
The announcement has seeped out to Salem's Witchcraft Heights and finally over to Tempus Fugit HQ -
the shot-callers at Kering have decided that the current head of Ulysse Nardin should now also take over Girard-Perregaux. Now this is not really news. And in fairness, I have held off on comment. But the more people that I spoke with, the more I thought about it, the more I have come to believe that we are seeing the same sort of reactive (i.e. not proactive) thinking that (particularly) the Swiss industry has been stumbling around with for the recent past.
I am now firmly to the point where I don't know if these "double CEOs" are the result of careful decision making, or knee-jerk reaction. It also sheds some very serious light on the real health of the watch industry. If everything is as rosy as the export numbers would have us believe, then Kering wouldn't feel the need to bootstrap their executive functions in the watch industry.
But I've also noticed another shift, the business now is becoming less and less about the "personalities" running the brands. On the one hand, this is good because it focuses us back more firmly on the viability of the product itself.
On the other hand? It lays bare the industry's refusal to evolve. It is clear that many of the structures, decision making paradigms and, yes, attitudes are straight from the late 70s. And we all know where that led us.
But back to the man of the hour, courtesy of Kering's announcement -
It is clear that Mr. Pruniaux didn't just fall off the turnip truck, and it is also evident that with his experience at Apple, he is prepared to "think different" (sorry, couldn't resist). And if GP and UN continue to fester, in fairness? I wouldn't hang the blame on him.
We are (at least some of us) starting to realize that even during the last massive downturn, we were living in a gilded age. Ultimately the brands will have to figure out what made them tick, and see if the magic can be recaptured. But for the brands that were so dependent upon a cult of personality to drive them (and I say this with respect, not disdain), they will have to discover ways to make their watches attractive to actual customers without the help of celebrity CEOs and watch makers. For UN the dynamic duo of Ludwig Oechslin and Rolf Schnyder have left the building, and for GP the last connection to the romantic past of the family Macaluso is now living the life of a romantic poet/traveler/rally car driver.
So some new magic will need to be found, because as that other great commentator on the watch industry, Slim Charles, would remind us:
Sunday, July 22, 2018
Fall of the House of Macaluso
For many of us, the sight of Antonio Calce's rapidly disappearing backside was a sign that things might improve. And me personally? I had hoped that maybe, just maybe Mr. Macaluso the younger would step forward to take a more active role. And if I am completely honest? I don't know that he would have necessarily done any better than the fellow who recently received his walking papers from his superiors at Kering HQ. GP is a company that has made its bones mostly on sentiment, passion, emotion - the sort of things that can't really be explained or accounted for in a ledger.
I can only draw one conclusion. Girard-Perregaux seems to be cursed. There is no other way to look at it. It is not a money issue, because there have been several rounds of cash coming in. It is not for want of creativity, because they have plenty of that. It is not for want of technical know-how, because it is clear that they have that in abundance. And in some ways it is not for passion, because there have been some passionate people (at least with Mr. Sofisti, and the Macaluso family). But sometimes, you can have everything going for you, and God, the Universe, your financial backers, fate itself decides that it just isn't going to be your year, or your decade.
But in my opinion, curses are meant to be lifted. If the Cubs can win the World Series, if LeBron James can carry an entire city (Hell, an entire state) on his back and bring a championship that nobody ever felt or dreamed they would live to see?
So what's next for GP? I am not having daily phone exchanges with the Pinaults. But at least insofar as their watch divisions go, maybe we should be, because they (or at least the people they are entrusting these watch making entities to) are making some monumentally bad decisions. To the extent that I have to go back to the idea of a curse. But maybe they could try something simple:
1. Identify someone with experience who is not simply looking for their next CEO pay-grade job. Find someone who gets it.
2. Stop all of the bullshit. GP IS NOT Patek. Sorry, but it's time to put on the big boy pants and start facing realities. Start making collections that have decent design, decent technical detail, and that will actually be purchased by actual customers. Stop trying to solve all of your problems with a ridiculously expensive, esoteric watch that may win an award presented once a year by a panel of "experts", experts who are never going to buy one of your watches, but who will certainly be there for you so long as the "bar is open".
3. Punch your weight. There is an emerging middle place where GP could not only exist, but thrive. But that will only happen if calmer heads start to prevail.
And most important? For the love of God and all that's holy - get f'ing passionate about what you are doing! This is a brand that people love, but GP has become about as exciting as a greyhound bus trip from Cleveland to Pittsburgh. Why? Because if the people running the thing aren't passionate about the watches they make and sell, why in f's sake should we be?
It's hard not to be romantic about watches, it's harder still to watch a good brand continue to trip over itself like a drunken octopus.






