There are many different theories floating around watch town as to whys and wherefores motivating the heroes and zeros. But it does (to me) represent a few possible misconceptions as to the true value and long-term stability of JLC - no offense to the players in this little drama ; )
I was reminded recently (while listening to a watch podcast) that a lot of the folks opining on the machinations of Watch Town these days are, to a large extent, New Jacks. That doesn't make their opinion any less valid, but these are folks who did not go through the downturn of 08/09, nor experience the riches to rags saga of Basel World snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. What these pundits aren't really taking into account is that not so very long ago, the Richemont watch division juggernaut was just a gleam in the milkman's eye. Now granted, that milkman was one Günter Blümlein, but the one key reason why JLC became what it did was hard nosed cost cutting and consolidation prior to Richemont's acquisition. And, ironically, a lot of that lesson was lost in the succeeding decades. And a lot of that hit home with me when I recently visited the new JLC boutique in what locals are calling "Switzerland in Boston" on Newbury Street. Shit-tons of SKUs. And if I am brutally honest? There are only so many hard-core collectors who either live or visit Massachusetts's largest city. But this is more than just a question about local retail strategies. It becomes a much bigger question as to brand identity. I am a JLC owner. A fringe one, to be fair - an Atmos clock currently in off-site storage that is correct twice a day. When we consider how much money it takes to create, manufacture, and most importantly - to innovate? Without Uncle Rupert making it rain, JLC will not be such an easy lift.
Arguments can (and will) be made that this is a swashbuckling move that will once and for all firmly cement JLC's position amongst the all-time greats. I mean, c'mon! Just look at what Kerns did with Breitling!
Well, yes and no.
Part of the feel-good love story of Breitling's triumphant reemergence is the part that most don't acknowledge - the not insignificant "re-ups" provided by private equity.
And what about AP? Look at what Mr. B did? Again, that's a case of two things being true at the same time. He did bring the brand to new amazing heights, but that roll had already started, and was chiefly fueled by his on-again, off-again understanding that despite AP's at times deep catalogs, the real demand of any significance was the Royal Oak. Is there that much appetite for the Reverso out there? And while I'm sure that Mr. Lambert is a perfectly nice fellow, he doesn't exactly have the charisma of Mr. B, or even Mr. Kerns. Now in terms of personal dynamism, the same could be said of Mr. Dufour, but then again? He's in charge of Rolex. And JLC can paint as many pretty picutures as they like, but they are not Rolex.
So as is so often the case in Watch Town, we will wait, and will will see.
